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2024-12-13 04:28:15

"Implement a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy, enrich and improve the policy toolbox, and strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment."So in my last post, I emphasized that A shares would fluctuate between 3150 points and 200 points, and fell below 3150 points. But I should have thought that the bottom of the market was rising and the consolidation was going up. Finally, I paid the bill for my cognition: "I'm sorry".If it is good, once it breaks through the resistance range of 3440-3490, large funds will rush to run as they did at the end of September and quickly attack 3500-3700.


When the hesitant funds and investors exclaimed that the cow was coming, the big funds were lured to 3800, and then fell back to 3500 in January next year.This is beyond my expectation. Although I maintain the view that A shares are entering a bull market, my friends who have been paying attention to me know that I am pessimistic.It is worth mentioning that I have always admired this science and technology innovation board and compared it with Beijiao 50. Now Beijiao has been continuously adjusted, and now there is no first board. The continuous freezing point is bound to be accompanied by a strong rebound. If there is a new cycle, it is still the first choice for flexibility, and then science and technology innovation board.


Secondly, the change from "prudent" to "moderately loose" in previous years is a major change in the caliber of monetary policy. Moderate easing was last proposed in 2010, and our caliber in the past 14 years has been consistent and steady. No matter how radical the interest rate cuts and RRR cuts are, no matter how loose they look from the behavior, they just don't let go. This is the first change in 14 years, with emphasis on the first time.It is worth mentioning that I have always admired this science and technology innovation board and compared it with Beijiao 50. Now Beijiao has been continuously adjusted, and now there is no first board. The continuous freezing point is bound to be accompanied by a strong rebound. If there is a new cycle, it is still the first choice for flexibility, and then science and technology innovation board.When the hesitant funds and investors exclaimed that the cow was coming, the big funds were lured to 3800, and then fell back to 3500 in January next year.

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